Monday, January 16, 2006

New poll has Tories up by 13 points

According to the Strategic Counsel, the Tories sit at 40% with the Liberals in second at 27%. The Party of F comes in third at at 16%, the separatists with 11%, and the Greens at 6%.

Plugging those numbers into the Hill and Knowlton Election Predictor (here), the seat counts break down as follows:

Tories 166
Bloc 61
Liberals 54
Party of F 26
Other 1

These figures are suspicious to me, not only because they would give the Tories such a strong majority, but also because Hill and Knowlton has seats like Burnaby -Douglas, Brampton-Springdale, Kenora, and Thunder Bay-Rainy River all going Tory.

If other polls come out today, I'll plug em in and give you a quick analysis.

2 Comments:

At 1:48 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

how many seats are needed for a majority?

 
At 2:04 PM, Blogger Road Hammer said...

155 baby.

 

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